Toronto ssentially kept its season alive with a dramatic buzzer-beating win in Game 3 against Boston on Thursday night. The Raptors hit a 3-pointer as time expired to cut the Celtics’ series lead to 2-1. They will play Game 4 on Saturday night, where Toronto is listed as a 1.5-point favorite. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven games and are an underdog again tonight. Toronto needed excellent performances out of its entire starting lineup to barely sneak past a Boston team that did not get its best from several key players. The Celtics have established themselves as the better team in the series and they should win on tonight. However,
the under continues to be a strong play in this series, with all three games staying under the total thus far. Boston has now gone under in its last five games overall, as the defense has been stingy. In fact, these are two of the top five defenses in the NBA and the series is playing out exactly as you would expect. Oddsmakers keep reducing the total by around one point from game-to-game, but the adjustment has not been enough. As I said in the preview for Game 3, I am going to have to see these teams go over the number before I stop taking the under.
My prediction: Under 215,5 points
