Prediction Serie A: Spezia - Crotone
- Title : Prediction Serie A: Spezia - Crotone
The Serie A championship continues with the 30th day that will have a big impact on the final positions in the standings. After the recoveries on Wednesday 7 April - with the victories of Inter and Juventus respectively against Sassuolo and Napoli - the ranking has undergone a further shock that has stretched the margins between the contenders. The 30th round will begin on Saturday 10 April at 3:00 pm with Spezia-Crotone, then at 6:00 pm it will be Milan playing at the Tardini in Parma. Inter, on the other hand, will play against Cagliari on Sunday at lunchtime, while Juventus will face Genoa at 3.00 pm. The evening game on Sunday will see Fiorentina-Atalanta, and the last game that will close the round will be Benevento-Sassuolo which will be played on Monday 11 April at 20:45.
It has been a positive performance of Spezia which, despite an “economic” summer market and a season that is almost never without conceding, is now only a few games away from safety. In the last five games, Spezia have collected only four points, winning against Cagliari and drawing against Benevento but losing against Juventus, Atalanta and Lazio. In the standings, they are sixteenth at 29 points and -7 from Cagliari third from bottom.
As for the numbers, Spezia are a team that plays openly, scoring but also conceding a lot to their opponents. In fact, the Italian team has, so far, scored 37 goals (minus one goal from Verona ninth in the ranking), conceding 53 goals (third worst defense of the tournament). At home, Spezia have a rather positive score, so much so that in the last four home games they have achieved two wins and two draws. The team’s top scorer is Angolan Nzola, who scored nine goals.
For Crotone, there are now nine finals to be played. The score of Cosmi's team is definitely not accepted since the last five games there have been four defeats and only one victory. In the standings, Crotone are last with 15 points, -9 from the fourth-bottom Torino. Therefore, Crotone needs to win every game now if they want a chance to stay in the top league.
As for the numbers, Crotone are a team that is able to attack the opponent's very well (35 goals scored), but struggles tremendously when it's time to defend their goal (74 goals conceded). If the home score counts only four wins, the score away from home is much worse: in fact, Crotone are the only Serie A team to have never won away from home, obtaining 13 defeats and only one draw. Attention, however, to the best scorer of the team, Simy (15 goals scored) who was the player who scored the most in Europe in March.
Spezia (4-3-3): Zoet; Ferrer, Erlic, Chabot, Bastoni; Pobega, Ricci, Maggiore; Verde, Nzola, Gyasi. Coach. Italiano
Crotone (3-5-2): Cordaz; Djidji, Golemic, Luperto; Molina, Petriccione, Benali, Messias, Reca; Ounas, Simy. Coach. Cosmi
It will be the second match between these two teams in Serie A (after the first leg). In the 14 matches played in Serie B, Spezia have won nine times, one draw and four wins for Crotone. In the 2019/20 season, one victory on each side. Both times the match ended 2 to 1 and the away team always won. While in the first match between these two teams in Serie A this season, Crotone won 4-1 with goals from Messias (brace), Reca and Eduardo Henrique and Farias scored the only goal for Spezia. There are 22 goals scored by Spezia against Crotone against 15 scored by Crotone.
This will be a match where both teams go for the victory and none of them will be satisfied with a draw. I predict that both teams will score and over 2.5 goals.
My bet will be over 2.5 goals and the odds is 1.66.
|Prediction||Over 2.5 goals|
|Start Time||15:00 : 10-Apr-21|