NHL: Boston Bruins - Philadelphia Flyers
- Title : NHL: Boston Bruins - Philadelphia Flyers
Not too surprising that I am leaning towards the Under in this division game. The Bruins have scored three goals through three games and the Flyers have scored four goals in their last two games and one came on an empty net. This game will not have many offensive fireworks, as it will be a defensive battle. While the Bruins are only 1-2 they have only given up three goals in their last two games. Philly will not get bombarded like they were in the game before the last one giving up six goals since they are facing a Boston offense that has major issues scoring the puck. In this game the Under is the pick.
Boston has won just one of its last seven overall games and will find it difficult versus a team which is being mentioned regularly when talking about this year’s contenders for the Stanley Cup.
Usually in a game between a team that’s over-performing and a team that’s under-performing, I’d buy the dip on the under-performing team. However, it seems like oddsmakers have plenty of respect for the Bruins. The B’s are consensus -135 favorites in this game, and I think that’s spot on.
At this price however, I see no value. If the public overreacts to the records and this line comes crashing down before game-time, I’m keen on backing the Bruins here. However, I still like the total in this game.
I outlined Boston’s inability to score so far this season, and while I do expect positive regression, Boston has never been an offensive juggernaut. Even last season when the Bruins were the best team in the league, their offensive metrics were middle of the road. Without Pastrnak, their offense is significantly weaker.
Boston’s defense remains the strength of that team, and it doesn’t appear that has changed even with the loss of some key defensemen. Philadelphia is also due for some regression in the goal-scoring department, and I think that starts in this game.
I think three goals will be enough to win this game, and therefore I’m looking towards the under. Bruins games are 0-3 to the under this season, while Flyers games are 3-1 to the over. I think Boston’s style of play will win out in this contest.
|Prediction||Under 5,5 goals . Regular Time|
|Start Time||12:00 : 22-Jan-21|